- No candidate this far back two weeks out has ever won.
- Early voting is going strong and even if something big happens, those votes are already cast.
- The Democrats have a 10% advantage in party registration; in 2004 it was even.
- Obama is outspending McCain 4 to 1 in many states.
- There is no evidence for the so-called Bradley effect in the past 15 years.
- Obama is safe in all the Kerry states and ahead in half a dozen states Bush won.
(Via the Votemaster)
While I despise the system where the money matters to such an extreme extent in the election, I now realize that many people giving smaller amounts can actually outcontribute the rich donors. As a result Obama raised more money in September than the monthly domestic product of 46 countries ($150 million). So, the lesson is that this voting with your money does not necessarily always favor the GOP.
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